How to Know if A Roulette System Will Fail – Without Purchasing It

Dear roulette enthusiast,

I virtually have every system that applies virtually every principle ever conceived of in attempt to beat roulette. Save yourself time and money by avoiding systems that simply don’t work.

Virtually every system seller CLAIMS their system is a long-term winner, but virtually every system fails in the long-term. So how can you know the truth about any system without actually purchasing?

… by understanding roulette, and the ONLY legitimate principles that make it beatable in the long-term. Once you understand the principles, you can eliminate most systems that are guaranteed to fail, without risking a cent.

This page is to help you avoid wasting money on systems that do not and literally CANNOT work. Understand I’ve been purchasing, developing and testing gambling

systems for well over a decade. And my work has not been just occasional. It has been solid work — often every day of the week. You can choose whether or not to take my advice.

Many system sellers resort to incredibly dishonest ways to discredit their competitors in attempt to increase sales of their own systems. They know their system isn’t what they claim and willingly defraud their purchasers, so why wouldn’t they lie about competitors?

Often dishonest system sellers post blatantly false and malicious lies, under a variety of names, and spread false rumors on message boards.

Often the lies are made to appear they’re from people that have purchased a system — after all, that’s the best way to fool system purchasers. Furthermore, consider that players submit a non-disclosure agreement to not discuss my system with anyone without written consent from myself – it is a term of purchase. If you question me about rumors, don’t expect me to address garbage – you choose to believe whatever you want. The best way to know whether or not a system is what the system seller claims is by asking the system seller the right questions then gauging theirresponse.

I do not want any part of childish mud-slinging between system sellers, so I will not identify specific systems or their sellers. Please don’t ask me about other systems or their sellers.

Instead, I will post the following points for your consideration, then you can decide for yourself:

To overcome ANY casino game’s statistical edge (house edge) and win in the long-term, you MUST be able to predict the outcomes with sufficient accuracy. So specifically with roulette, it means your method to determine where the ball will land NEXT must be accurate enough to overcome the house edge. You don’t need to be accurate on EVERY spin — only over a number of spins. Almost every system relies on either progression betting or predicting patterns of some kind.

Progression betting is statistically guaranteed failure even without a table’s maximum bets — this is common knowledge amongst professional gamblers. The word “professional” does count for something. So either way you look at it, you can only beat a casino game if the house edge is overcome.

And to do this with roulette, you need to predict where the ball will land with sufficient accuracy. And how can you predict it? Well first consider, what are you predicting? . . . where the roulette marker will be placed on the betting table, OR where the ball will land on the wheel?

The answer is both, BUT considering the betting table is merely a “scattered” representation of the wheel, where do you think you should focus your attention — the wheel, or the betting table? Yes of course the table is EASIER … but if you focus on the betting table instead of the wheel (where it counts), you are guaranteed to lose.

Understand first the wheel’s numbers are scattered, so you need to decode them before they make any sense. Then they are further encoded by the betting table, and the casino’s know if you focus on the table, you will definitely lose.

Systems that use outside bets (such as the dozens, columns and red/black), literally CANNOT win in the long-term. It doesn’t matter what system you have!

Why? Because the outside bets do not represent the wheel in a fashion that enables you to select segments of the wheel. They are a representation of scattered/encoded segments of the wheel. And if you cover scattered segments of the wheel, it’s absolutely IMPOSSIBLE to overcome the house edge. For example, red on the betting table represents every second pocket. It doesn’t matter how you bet, what progression or strategy you use, red and black does not represent actual areas of the wheel, so covering either black or red is guaranteed failure.

A system that beats the house edge does not require any progression betting to produce a long-term profit. If a system requires progression and cannot win in the long term with flat bets only, it will lose over time,guaranteed.

If a system seller claims their system wins against random number generators, they are lying! It is absolutely impossible. For any casino game to be beatable, you must be able to predict the results with enough accuracy to overcome the house edge. And what information do you have about a random number generator that gives you ANY kind of accuracy? NONE. I am so confident of this, that I will offer anyone a US$100,000 reward that shows me a system that wins against 1,000,0000 random number generated spins. I know random number generators are easier to test with, but I assure you they cannot be beaten! You can only beat a REAL roulette wheel.

Of the hundreds of systems I have, excluding mine, only two ever worked in the long-term. And not surprisingly, they were both based on a REAL roulette wheel.

If you’ve been unable to verify a casino game has been beaten, then chances are it cannot be beaten. I mean real proof, not just someone’s word or a rumor.

You’ve no doubt heard of card counters — but they don’t win millions because they only slightly beat the house edge. But you can read of people who have won

millions with roulette. Even if they use computers, at least it’s in the news and verifiable. Links to news articles are on my site, rouletteproof.com.

Something to make you think: “On a European wheel, the ball lands on 0. Before it landed, what were the chances of it landing on 0?” Of course a mathematician will say “1 in 37”. Do you think this is correct, or is there more to it than just stating odds? Makes you think — random, or cause and effect? Unpredictable, or predictable?

Ask the system seller the following questions:

Q. Does your system win in the long-term with all online casinos, including ones that use random number generators? Does it overcome the house edge?

Before you ask this, emphasize you want a long-term winner for ALL online casinos. If they say that is what their system is, they are either blatantly lying to you, or they simply have no idea what they’re talking about. Whether you like it or not, a long term winner for all online casinos simply does not and CANNOT exist.

Q. Exactly on what principles does your system overcome the casinos edge?

If they can’t explain the exact principles, or they only give vague explanations such as they’ve discovered some secret, they are most likely lying to you. It doesn’t matter what the hype is or what their claims are, if they can’t give explanations, don’t trust them.

Q. If two players were playing the samesystem on the same table, would they make exactly the same bets?

Some systems require guesswork, so whether or not the system truly works can never be proven.

Q. Does your system use any progression betting?

Progression systems can give the short-term illusion that they work, but unless they first beat the house edge, they fail in the long term because they either eventually blow your bankroll, or you reach the table’s maximum bet.

Q. Does your system require me at all to quit when I’m up?

Whether or not leaving when you’re up is good advice is not the point. Leaving when you’re up is not a system. It is something you do with a short-term winning strategy, or if you’re playing for fun. With a system that beats the house edge, the more you play, the more you earn. It might sound like good advice to leave when you’re up, but the casino doesn’t ask you to leave when you’ve lost too much… because they know if you aren’t beating the house edge, you’ll continue to lose.

OTHER POINTS TO CONSIDER WHEN BUYING A SYSTEM:

Why is the system being sold?

Are there genuine reasons for selling?

Can you verify who the system seller is?

Do they offer something like bank account details, and are they

located in a jurisdiction where laws are modern (most

English speaking countries)?

Steer clear of the Bahamas and island countries.

The authorities in the UK, USA and Australia are most vigilant in prosecuting fraudsters.

Testimonials are very easily and very frequently faked. And even if they are real, they typically represent short-term winnings only, such as “I won $1000 my first time out!”

Money-back guarantees are over-rated – they exist to convince more people to buy, but actually asking for your money back doesn’t mean you’ll get it back. You may just get excuses instead of a refund; that’s what scammers do very well. Most of the losing systems come with “unconditional 30-day” guarantees.

How to Handicap Tennis Matches

Tennis is one of the most widely wagered on sports in the world. The number of people betting on tennis may not be that large when compared to certain sports, but the volume of wagers accepted by bookmakers in the tennis markets is massive.

Every week there are generally 2-3 ATP/WTA tennis tournaments although some weeks there are even more tourneys to wager on. The smaller tournaments have the best value in the betting markets and ideally you should spend more time handicapping them.

Betting on the major Grand Slam tournaments in tennis is something everyone does and the bookies spend months making sure their lines are sharp. With smaller tournaments the bookies release odds that can be exploited, but you have to be fast.

In tennis there are tons of large volume traders and arbers that the average bettor has to worry about. In order to bet into a line that has value you need to be very fast. I’m now going to share some tips for handicapping tennis matches that you should utilize.

Methods for Handicapping Tennis Matches

The majority of tennis bettors will look at basic stats such as H2H, especially now that these stats are available online for free on numerous websites. H2H stats are important to look at, but you should know that a tennis player with a great H2H record against their opponent will have that priced into their odds.

Often tennis players will be overvalued in the betting markets when they have a great record against their opponent. This doesn’t mean you should avoid betting on the player with the great H2H stats, but you should make sure you look at the match closer.

One of the best tips I can give you is to understand the different court surfaces when you’re betting on tennis. A player that excels on the grass courts may struggle a lot when they play on clay courts. It isn’t rare to see high ranked players lose to tennis players that are unknown to the casual spectator.

Recent form isn’t something that I look at too closely with the higher ranked players, as they can be terrible one week and win the next week. I look at recent form to see if there has been a trending pattern of poor play, but don’t let one or two bad matches sway your decision too much on a bet.

You always should watch how a player is looking mentally on the court as well. Tennis is a mental sport as well as physical. Tennis players can get into slumps when they lose confidence and you should never bet on a player struggling with his mental game because the player is too unpredictable.

Finally, you want to analyze the odds closely in tennis. Dozens of reputable bookies post odds on tennis matches every week. You should always make sure you bet into the best odds possible. You should also know whether the odds are “steaming” or “drifting”. You shouldn’t bet into odds when they’re drifting, as you can wait until you can get a better price on the tennis player that you want to wager on.

Avoid the 7 Biggest Mistakes New Craps Players Make

Many new craps players fail to realize that winning is a process. Set forth below are the 7 biggest mistakes made by new craps players.

The first mistake a new craps player makes is to fail to set a goal of how they want to win. Most people who go to Vegas (and the craps table) have the attitude that they will take with so much money and when they lose, they will stop. This is a defeatist attitude. The attitude we have is that we will win so much money and then we will stop. Depending on the size of our bankroll, we will usually set a goal to win $200 per hour. This is discussed by John Patrick in his book Advanced Craps.

The second mistake made by a new craps player is failing to understand the game, i.e., the probabilities for each number being made. Just because you may know how to place a bet, it does not mean you know how to win. Often a new player will start by winning and think it is a simple game. They increase their bet size only to have the table turn cold and lose it all. New craps players must be aware that the game of craps is based on streaks. Sam Graftstein discusses this in detail in his book The Dice Doctor Revised and Expanded.

The third mistake is not having an adequate bankroll. Craps is a game based on streaks. As such, you cannot and will not win on every bet – – you will have loses. Too often a player does not have an adequate bankroll for the size bets he is making or sets an unrealistic goal of how much to win. If you have a $500 bankroll, it is difficult to set a goal to win $1,000. It does happen, but only when people are lucky. When loses do occur, he may not have enough money to make bets and miss out on a hot shooter. Author Frank Scoblette discusses this in his book Beat the Craps out of the Casinos.

The fourth mistake is drinking while playing. If you are going to play craps, then you can either play to have fun or play to win. It is difficult to do both. New craps players sometimes get intrigued with the free booze and drink too much to concentrate on what they are doing. I have friends who travel to Vegas with grandiose ideas of winning big. I have heard them discuss that one or several of them were doing well until they started drinking. If you are going to drink and party – – wait until after you have left the craps table, not during.

The fifth mistake made by many new players is lacking discipline. Many new players will press their bets when they are winning. While this may work some of the time, too often the new player will have a lot of money on the table when the dreaded 7 appears. You need to take some of your winnings off the table. Sam Graftstein discusses this in detail in his book The Dice Doctor Revised and Expanded.

I was dealing craps for an entertainment company at a private residence for a person’s surprise birthday party. One of the players was setting the dice. Apparently he took lessons on how to be a precision shooter from Beau Parker, a/k/a Dice Coach. At first he was having long rolls and doing extremely well (Beau is an excellent teacher on how to set and influence the dice). This person, however, kept pressing his bets. He rarely took his winnings down. I asked him why he left his winnings on the table because I know personally that Dice Coach does not follow that betting strategy. His explanation was that he kept his bets up until he had a feeling. Within a short time he lost his entire “bankroll.” Good thing he was playing with pretend money instead of real money. Had he had any semblance of a betting strategy he would have done quite well.

The sixth mistake made by new players is not paying attention. New players tend to forget the bets they make, where the dealer placed their bets and also to pick up their winnings. If you forget to pick up your winnings it is considered a bet. The casinos’ policy is “if it lays, it plays.” At a crowded table, the game of craps moves quickly.

The seventh mistake made by new craps players is to believe that a craps system will work. While all systems work some of the time, none work all of the time. So be careful at the tables. You never know if the system will work for hours, days or even longer.

By: David Udjat, Walk Away Craps

Soccer Betting – Maintaining System Discipline

Investing behavior is a popular topic among financial experts and economists trying to learn how and why investors and markets behave the way they do. Many of their discoveries and conclusions are just as applicable to punters wagering on betting exchanges as they are to brokers and traders dealing on the financial markets. The difference is that many brokers and traders are working with other people’s money, meaning that they have to exercise strict discipline as they are liable to their clients. Conversely, the independent punter is usually only using his own money and has few restrictions on what he can do with it.

System discipline refers to fighting the temptation chase every seemingly good bet in favor of sticking to a system that has been tested and shown to be successful. Most successful systems advise the bettor to have a fixed amount of cash with which to bet (commonly known as a “betting bank”); require that some manner of analysis or review accompany each bet; and dictate specific amounts, percentages, or odds. Most of these systems only work if the punter follows them perfectly, as adding variation changes the equations upon which the system is based. Nevertheless, since most effective systems only provide small but steady profits, many punters become overconfident, impatient, or greedy and begin discarding elements of their system. The result tends to be betting without a proven system and usually means the same hit and miss ratio as any random gambler.

The entire concept of system discipline is fundamentally counter intuitive to the average punter. After all, he wagering on the outcome of an event that has not been determined yet. Nevertheless, sport betting is not like casino gambling where the outcome is totally random; instead, research and experimentation can – and does – result in the development of systems that can radically improve the chance of winning. That being said, these systems are only as good as the punter is at employing them. Failing to be consistent, chasing after non-system bets that seem reasonable, and betting beyond one’s means all result in removing any advantage that a well thought out system may offer.

Once a betting system has been developed and proven, maintaining system discipline is the primary factor required to maintain steady winnings. Any and all variation from that system changes the total amount of money won or lost, rendering the results derived exclusively from the system moot. Random betting on sports is a fool’s game because with a little time and effort the punter can do much better. 

The professional punter knows and understands that system discipline is the key to success. Using his system consistently, patiently analyzing each bet before making, refusing to get too greedy and accepting many small payouts over a few large ones are all signs of a serious bettor that intends to make money. While anyone can get caught up in the excitement of wagering and clever bookmakers constantly make offers that seem very good, the professional with a proven system knows better.