Poker System – How to Win Time and Time Again

A poker system is an entirely subjective and personal thing, some people swear by a specific betting system others rely on another, and it should be noted that a person’s personality will figure into the poker system that they use. The purpose of a poker system is to act as a reliable formula for success, which will allow you to win time and time again.

A common mistake made by a poker novice is that he or she assumes a poker system is a magic formula that will automatically mean that they win every time. Nothing could be further from the truth because in that case, such a poker system would be more akin to a cheating system.

A poker system helps to improve, not guarantee the chances and odds of success and they do so by identifying and eliminating those strategies and moves that would pose the greatest threat or are the riskiest move. As can be plainly seen, this is little more than a process of elimination and with the possible options streamlined this statistically improves the odds of the player winning.

A poker system may rely upon a specific betting structure in order to minimise the losses, and there is a wide number of such betting systems. Perhaps one of the most well-known and relied upon of these betting models is the D’Alembert betting system. This system was devised by a French mathematician who himself was an avid gambler and wanted to minimise his losses.

The main premise of the D’Alembert poker system is that if you happen to win then you will be more likely to lose in your next turn, and if you lose then you will be more likely to win in your next turn. This way, for every progressive turn you either increase or decrease your basic wager in a bid to beat the curve.

There is a major flaw in this system however. In this poker system, the deck of cards has already been sorted, cut and dealt, and so there is no “memory” or recollection by the cards which would seem to completely defeat this entire system. D’Alembert was an eccentric, and his system is better suited to a philosophy class than a mathematical one because of the flawed logic that he relies upon. By all means, feel free to use this particular poker system for sport, but do not expect to win because there are other more dependable methodologies out there.

The various components of your personal poker system will depend on the “type” of poker you play. Not only does this refer to the various different forms of poker that there are, but also to the very broad categories of online poker, and real life poker. In real life poker, an awareness of the “tells” of both yourself and your opponents plays an important role in your decisions because the way a person reacts can often be an excellent indicator as to what your next move should be.

Since the participants to the game in online poker are not physically present, this means that the pressure and the demanding rigours of off line gaming are not present. A change in your poker system is therefore required. Be careful when gambling online so that you do not bet too much without a method to boost your odds.

A Simple Free Horse Laying System For Betfair

What’s the secret of a winning horse laying system for Betfair? There are hundreds of products for sale and so called Betfair gurus to tell you how to make money on Betfair but the basis of a winning system can actually be quite simple. Here I will describe the foundations of a winning horse laying system which you can adapt and experiment with.

The first thing we must look for when laying horses is that we have a maximum lay odds in mind to protect our betting bank. If we choose to lay horses simply on the basis that they are outsiders with little chance of winning on the day one does make it home first we will suffer! Imagine a laying strategy where we lay a 50 to 1 outsider every day. Inevitably one will win and we’ll pay the price for an over-simplistic approach!

Statistics tell us that around a third of favourites win their races. That means of course that two thirds of favourites lose their races! For me this makes the basis for a winning horse laying system. Favourites will of course generally have quite low odds and our betting bank won’t suffer too much when one does win.

There are many different types of horse races and by being selective about ones we bet on we can further improve our horse laying strike rate. Personally I avoid handicap races since in theory, if the handicapper has it right, all the horses are evenly matched. I also avoid races with only a small number of horses running – upwards of 8 is a good starting point.

There are many factors which determine which horse will be the favourite in a race. These include in form stables, trainers and jockeys and of course the horse’s recent race results. Here we have another strong indicator for a solid horse laying system – If the horse was second or third in its last race many punters will back it assuming it was just beaten and may win the next race. Often the race is a completely different affair – a different distance or class, more runners, better quality horses etc.

So to sum up my basis for a winning horse laying system for Betfair –

1) Don’t be afraid to lay favourites in the right circumstances

2) Avoid handicap races and big race meetings

3) Look for indicators there may be a false favourite – for example, was the favourite just beaten last time out but conditions today are entirely different

In spite of all the hype out there and talk of Betfair loopholes and secrets it is possible to make money on Betfair with a sensible horse laying system.

Speed Selection Betting System

This process of speed selection betting system involves eliminating horses for betting on the several criteria. Here are few tips…

Remove the thought of betting on a horse which last 2 races and which were not on the same track as the current race that the bettor wishes to bet on. An better must also avoid betting on the any race with more than 2 first time starters. No matter if there is only a difference of a furlong in the present race and the previous race of the horse. It is better to avoid betting on the horse.

If the horse was not leading or was not within the 3 length of the leader in the last race even after the call. It is better to stay away from netting on the horse. The better must also avoid betting on the horse even if the horse is on different surface. The Dutch betting system is not an handicap method. This is employed to cover a number of horse races. The basic premise of the system is the more horse bet on increases the probability of winning.

Here are few rules that have to be noted before betting on the horse. A horse trainer has a 10 percent winning percentage and gains two points. The last two races of each horse and the total length by which each of the horses were defeated has to be taken into account. By totaling them if it counts to nil, the horse won the race. The horse with the lowest number in the process will get three points each.

Additional one point is given to the horse if the last race was on turf and the current race is on the dirt. Horse jockeys who have 10 percent winning chance or better get additional one point. There is too much nitty-gritty that one has to look before betting on a horse.

Progressive Sports Betting System

In the world of sports betting as well as other gambling endeavors, the key to long-term success is enshrined in good bankroll management. While there exist more than a few methods out there that could prove worthwhile, the most fundamentally sound strategy that should be prioritize is progressive betting.

What is progressive betting? Progressive betting is basically when you stick to a set amount for each bet depending on the size of your bankroll, then increasing the amount of money per bet as your profit grows from the starting point. Identical methods are being used alongside many instructional orders on other gambling-like games like craps, blackjack. The recommendation usually varies wildly depending on the author but I personally advocate a more conservative stance than the majority of these authors simply because they tend to endorse a too risky and unsafe strategy once you’ve managed to grow your bankroll.

When betting on sports, discipline does not come easy to implement for a sports bettor. It is a skill that must be conquered for you to have long-term success in sports betting, as long as you took the time and effort to establish handicapping insight that has demonstrated a consistent winning record.

Let me give you an example that utilizes an effective conservative approach while at the same time, allows you to keep good discipline. Keep in mind that when gambling, a certain amount of swings will always be involved, therefore, it is crucial to be able to withstand losing streaks that could erase any profit you previously made alongside your initial bankroll money you started with.

Let’s say you begin with a bankroll of $2,000 in which you could have probably deposit that money in a reputable online sports-book or keep this money set aside for your sports betting future activity. In that case, the recommended unit size should be $44 to win $40 for each game which amount to about 2% of your bankroll in play. More than a few experts would proceed in suggesting you to risk 4 or 5 percent but the risk with a higher figure will be the limitation of your flexibility should you hit a prolonged losing streak. It may eventually take time to build up your bankroll, but you should always remember that sports betting is more like running a marathon, not a print.

With everything stated above, let us say that you’re averaging 1 bet per day for a full year, and ended up with a very respectable overall record of 210 wins and 150 loses. After taking into account house juice for each bet, you are left ahead with about 50 units or an additional $2,000 on top of your initial investment. With that conclusion, your initial bankroll of $2,000 would have been doubled in a span of a year to $4,000.

Now that your bankroll is standing at $4,000, you could ante up your bet to $88 from the previous initial bet size of $44. So you will basically retain the same 2% of your bankroll put into play but you will now be yielding twice the amount of profit that you started with. Logic should take hold with the fact that since you were able to double your starting bankroll of $2000, you would have probably achieved a proven track record as for your betting performance, thus allowing you to risk even more of your bankroll.

With everything being said, you still do not want to go crazy here and put all your profit at risk by increasing your bet size too much. Instead of going big, a conservative unit size bump of about 3% would yield a much better win percentage while still having some type of protection against cold streaks to fall back on. In this case, you may start entering bets of $120 to win $110 for each game which is just about 3 percent of your precious bankroll.

If you decide to use the 3% method, all you’ll need to do is clear about 17 units to make your next $2,000 as opposed to the 50 units that would have been necessary to profit the same amount when you started.

As soon as you get more comfortable with this skill set and start seeing consistent positive results, the next step could be to start rating the quality of your picks and then incorporate it into a big strategy that could improve your betting system.

Let me give you another example to clarify things further. Let’s say your standard unit size is $44 per bet but on certain occasion, you feel more confident about certain games. In this case, you can announce that your confidence level for this particular game is so high that you will bet “2 units” instead of the original and standard “1 unit.” That should mean your wager would have to increase from $44 to $88 because it is now a 2 unit play. It is of course important to keep record of your larger unit size so that you know whether it is worth increasing your betting size. Unless you can demonstrate a winning rate of about 65% on those high confidence 2 unit size bet, it would not be worth going through with it. At this point, it would be best to keep it simple and fully go back to the original 1 unit size bet for all bets.

So remember, you should not force yourself to increase the size of your bet if the amount of money that would be needed makes you uncomfortable. Keep a performance track record so you know whether to discontinue certain part of your betting strategy. You will surely gain more experience and confidence as you go and this will allow you to be able to analyze your situation and make the needed fix when it requires it.

In the meantime, the best strategy that I would recommend to someone who is just getting started is to keep their wager at a consistent unit size, specially if it is showing a winning rate. There is simply no need to over complicate things too soon and risk losing it all because you got too greedy.